Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 49.663150 57.128868 64.823446 73.310345 82.374012 91.731947 102.092493
2026-01-25 38.662662 49.267756 60.765740 74.006332 88.692955 104.360183 122.217614
2026-02-01 31.335951 43.437641 57.093911 73.328500 91.818385 111.975689 135.380299
2026-02-08 26.108188 39.202762 54.531976 73.265656 95.075100 119.268313 147.766435
2026-02-15 21.551371 35.150989 51.666724 72.386617 96.996330 124.719301 157.784042
2026-02-22 18.716647 32.885714 50.651819 73.430780 100.924187 132.270395 170.014370
2026-03-01 16.482216 31.125933 50.047395 74.788439 105.072922 139.959037 182.304145
2026-03-08 13.669669 28.239558 47.759234 73.865900 106.328559 144.148274 190.453427
2026-03-15 11.030866 25.260701 45.100823 72.272850 106.604654 147.053218 196.998214
2026-03-22 10.300946 25.059127 46.107167 75.308554 112.519344 156.617678 211.307950
2026-03-29 9.206975 24.148291 46.049900 76.899814 116.597752 163.958247 222.984282
2026-04-05 7.616030 22.208215 44.409038 76.304761 117.862994 167.859124 230.552088
2026-04-12 6.233491 20.434446 42.906097 75.840511 119.280083 171.962984 238.411496
2026-04-19 5.244789 19.216858 42.129039 76.294320 121.826243 177.419456 247.876952
2026-04-26 4.159538 17.597490 40.619838 75.651094 122.892728 181.012075 255.067368
2026-05-03 3.338739 16.342485 39.573381 75.578807 124.646758 185.414178 263.204155
2026-05-10 2.508660 14.836563 38.006575 74.686098 125.264878 188.363583 269.549587
2026-05-17 2.085784 14.212792 37.829521 75.748016 128.438546 194.482379 279.734115
2026-05-24 1.758185 13.753132 37.888934 77.128997 132.022355 201.107967 290.535030
2026-05-31 1.221041 12.456209 36.411803 76.190656 132.457311 203.743976 296.438303
2026-06-07 0.741345 11.010161 34.536367 74.570127 131.907912 205.089659 300.721957
2026-06-14 0.704874 11.266895 35.776476 77.657968 137.767562 214.581035 315.041461
2026-06-21 0.568878 11.021721 36.058862 79.276177 141.614757 221.510027 326.205151